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2024 Real Estate Market Predictions

Writer: Diantha PhothisanDiantha Phothisan

Updated: Feb 6, 2024

As we step into 2024, the real estate market continues to evolve, presenting new opportunities and challenges for buyers, sellers, investors, and industry professionals. Here’s an insightful look into the trends and predictions likely to shape the housing landscape this year.


1. Home Prices and Affordability:

A significant trend to watch is the divergence in home prices across different regions. The markets predict significant price falls in certain areas, especially in parts of coastal Florida, due to factors like the increasing risk of climate disasters and higher home insurance costs. Conversely, prices may rise in more climate-resilient and affordable metros like Albany, NY, Rochester, NY, and Grand Rapids, MI. For first-time homebuyers, the outlook is cautiously optimistic. While challenges persist, there’s a light at the end of the tunnel as mortgage rates are expected to ease and home prices to soften, coupled with a rise in incomes. This trifecta could make homeownership slightly more attainable than in the past few years.


2. The Dynamics of Migration and Market Competition

2024 could witness a trend of ‘boomerang migration’, where remote workers return to urban centers due to in-office policies and increasing costs in areas prone to natural disasters. Experts forecast that sellers might find themselves competing more with builders than with other sellers, as the focus shifts toward lower-priced homes and market-responsive price adjustments.


3. Mortgage Rates: The Deciding Factor

Mortgage rates continue to be a critical factor in determining market trends. If inflation subsides as expected, mortgage rates may follow suit, improving overall affordability for homebuyers. The market should be slightly calmer in 2024, with expectations of somewhat rebounding home sales, lower mortgage rates, and a gradual improvement in inventory and home prices.


4. Local Initiatives for Housing Affordability

Local governments are expected to play a more active role in housing affordability, such as adopting a land-value tax and encouraging new housing construction. These predictions are set against a backdrop of economic unpredictability, with factors like financial market volatility, geopolitical tensions, and the U.S. presidential election potentially influencing the outcomes.


Final Thoughts

While these predictions provide a roadmap for 2024, it’s crucial to remember that the real estate market remains subject to broader economic forces. For anyone looking to buy, sell, or invest in real estate this year, staying informed and adaptable is key. As always, consulting with a real estate professional in this ever-evolving market. Feel free to schedule a consultation with Diantha here.


Sources: Redfin, Realtor.com, Money.com

 
 
 

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